Disrupting the Dominant Party: The Personalization of Autocratic Rule

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Date and Time

March 3, 2026
12:00PM - 01:30PM EST

Location

CGIS South, Room S216
No registration required to attend in person.

In competitive authoritarian regimes, the executive often comes to power through elections tightly controlled by a dominant party. This electoral dependence on the party limits the power the authoritarian leader can independently exercise. We argue that the executive can reduce this constraint by expanding the electoral influence of the opposition. This opposition empowerment leads to an influx of new elected officials with whom the incumbent can negotiate to achieve his policy and tenure goals, thereby bypassing traditional, dominant party power-brokers. Employing archival data from Peru, we demonstrate that weakening the Civil Party's monopoly over the administration of legislative elections--by granting more electoral oversight to the independent opposition--strengthened Civil Party President Augusto Leguía (1908–1912). In areas with opposition electoral administrators, new legislators were elected who were more likely to join Leguía's coalition and to support his policy and tenure goals against the preferences of the Civil Party. Opposition-administered areas were also more likely to electorally support Leguía in his subsequent bid for the presidency against a Civil Party candidate. Our findings illustrate how authoritarian incumbents can weaken the parties that brought them to power and personalize their rule.

This project is co-authored with Anna F. Callis.


This event is presented in collaboration with the Weatherhead Center for International Affairs.

Christopher L. Carter

Speaker

Assistant Professor of Politics & John L. Nau III Assistant Professor of the History and Principles of Democracy, University of Virginia Central America Visiting Scholar, David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies, Harvard University

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Steven Levitsky

Moderator

Director, David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies; David Rockefeller Professor of Latin American Studies; Professor of Government, Harvard

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Alisha C. Holland

Moderator

Professor of Government, Department of Government

Alisha Holland

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